Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001247 0.001311 0.001376 0.001448 0.001525 0.001605 0.001695
2025-06-29 0.001134 0.001225 0.001321 0.001431 0.001554 0.001687 0.001842
2025-07-06 0.001050 0.001158 0.001276 0.001414 0.001573 0.001751 0.001966
2025-07-13 0.000974 0.001091 0.001222 0.001380 0.001566 0.001779 0.002046
2025-07-20 0.000933 0.001060 0.001205 0.001384 0.001599 0.001853 0.002179
2025-07-27 0.000900 0.001037 0.001195 0.001392 0.001636 0.001930 0.002317
2025-08-03 0.000877 0.001022 0.001192 0.001408 0.001681 0.002017 0.002470
2025-08-10 0.000847 0.000997 0.001175 0.001406 0.001701 0.002073 0.002585
2025-08-17 0.000806 0.000957 0.001138 0.001376 0.001684 0.002078 0.002632
2025-08-24 0.000775 0.000927 0.001112 0.001357 0.001680 0.002100 0.002701
2025-08-31 0.000755 0.000910 0.001101 0.001358 0.001701 0.002153 0.002814
2025-09-07 0.000730 0.000886 0.001080 0.001343 0.001700 0.002177 0.002886
2025-09-14 0.000707 0.000865 0.001063 0.001337 0.001712 0.002223 0.002999
2025-09-21 0.000683 0.000842 0.001044 0.001325 0.001716 0.002258 0.003097
2025-09-28 0.000660 0.000819 0.001023 0.001310 0.001716 0.002286 0.003186
2025-10-05 0.000632 0.000789 0.000991 0.001280 0.001691 0.002278 0.003218
2025-10-12 0.000619 0.000778 0.000985 0.001283 0.001715 0.002341 0.003365
2025-10-19 0.000608 0.000769 0.000982 0.001291 0.001745 0.002414 0.003531
2025-10-26 0.000600 0.000764 0.000983 0.001306 0.001785 0.002504 0.003731
2025-11-02 0.000587 0.000752 0.000974 0.001303 0.001800 0.002555 0.003868
2025-11-09 0.000566 0.000728 0.000948 0.001276 0.001775 0.002542 0.003896
2025-11-16 0.000549 0.000710 0.000929 0.001259 0.001766 0.002554 0.003966
2025-11-23 0.000539 0.000701 0.000923 0.001260 0.001783 0.002609 0.004115